PharmacologyPharmacokineticsKinetics, models and TCI
Estimated study time

About 75 minutes

Plus the time it takes to redraw this lesson’s figures from memory, which is the fastest way to find out what you have not understood.

Why it matters

Where this shows up

Every infusion running in a theatre is an application of this lesson. Context-sensitive half-time explains why one agent can be run for eight hours and another cannot, and the effect site explains why the number on the pump is not the number acting on the patient.

Learning outcomes

By the end of this lesson you should be able to:

  1. Explain Michaelis–Menten kinetics, and describe how a zero-order process reverts to first-order as substrate falls.
  2. Use phenytoin as the worked example of saturable elimination, and say what that predicts clinically.
  3. Distinguish zero- from first-order elimination, and draw each on both linear and logarithmic axes.
  4. Draw and explain one-, two- and three-compartment models, and state what each compartment represents.
  5. Write the compartment equations with every symbol defined, and describe the BET infusion scheme.
  6. Explain the effect site, keo and hysteresis, and why the plasma concentration is not the concentration that matters.
  7. Define context-sensitive half-time, explain why it is not the elimination half-life, and predict how it changes with infusion duration.
  8. Compare the Marsh, Schnider, Minto, Paedfusor and Eleveld models, and state what a target-controlled infusion cannot do.

Together these settle 4 syllabus objectives: Michaelis–Menten kinetics; zero- and first-order elimination; Draw and explain one-, two- and three-compartment models, and the BET infusion scheme; Explain the effect site, keo, hysteresis and context-sensitive half-time and Compare the Marsh, Schnider, Minto, Paedfusor and Eleveld TCI models. Tick them on the Pharmacology objective list once you can do all of the above without notes.

Part V

Non-linear kinetics

Everything so far has assumed that clearance is constant. This part examines what happens when it is not — and shows that first-order and zero-order kinetics are not two separate phenomena but two limiting cases of a single equation.

13

When clearance stops being constant

Michaelis–Menten kinetics

An enzyme has a finite number of active sites. That single structural fact is the origin of every non-linear phenomenon in pharmacokinetics.
TermMeaningUnits
V0Rate of elimination (reaction velocity)mass · time⁻¹
VmaxMaximum rate of metabolism, attained when every enzyme site is occupied. Proportional to total enzyme concentrationmass · time⁻¹
KmThe Michaelis constant — the substrate concentration at which the reaction proceeds at half its maximum velocity. A low Km indicates high affinityconcentration (not a rate)
CSubstrate (drug) concentration at the enzymeconcentration

Derivation from elementary enzyme kinetics

Michaelis–Menten is not a pharmacokinetic postulate; it is a result derived from the chemistry of a single enzyme. Reproducing the derivation distinguishes a strong viva answer from a recited one.

Consider enzyme E binding substrate S to form an enzyme–substrate complex ES. That complex has two possible fates: it may dissociate back to free enzyme and substrate, or it may proceed to product P, releasing the enzyme unchanged. Three rate constants are therefore required — one for each arrow:

The enzyme–substrate schemeE + Sk₁k₋₁ESk₂ E + P
ConstantDescribesDirection
k₁Association of free enzyme with free substrateForward — forms the complex
k₋₁Dissociation of the complex back to enzyme and substrate, without reactionReverse — destroys the complex, no product
k₂Catalytic conversion of bound substrate to product (also written kcat)Forward — destroys the complex, yields product

Note that the first step is reversible (hence the double arrow) while the second is treated as irreversible, since product is assumed to be removed and not to rebind. Note also that the enzyme is regenerated, not consumed — it appears on both sides.

Apply the steady-state assumption: after a brief initial transient, the complex ES is formed exactly as fast as it is consumed, so its concentration is constant and d[ES]/dt = 0. The complex is destroyed by two routes — dissociation (k₋₁) and conversion to product (k₂) — and this is why both constants appear in the numerator of Km below.

rate of ES formation=k₁[E][S]from free enzyme and free substrate
rate of ES loss=k₋₁[ES] + k₂[ES]dissociation plus conversion to product
at steady statek₁[E][S] = (k₋₁ + k₂)[ES]set formation equal to loss
conservation: [E]=[E]T − [ES]free = total − bound. This is the finite-sites assumption, and the origin of saturation
k₁([E]T − [ES])[S]=(k₋₁ + k₂)[ES]substitute
k₁[E]T[S]=[ES]( k₋₁ + k₂ + k₁[S] )collect all [ES] terms
[ES]=[E]T[S] ÷ ( Km + [S] )divide by k₁, and define Km = (k₋₁ + k₂) ÷ k₁
velocity V0=k₂[ES]product forms only from the complex
V0=Vmax[S] ÷ ( Km + [S] )defining Vmax = k₂[E]T, the rate when every site is occupied

The two limiting cases

The behaviour of the equation at the extremes of concentration produces first-order and zero-order kinetics respectively. This is the single most important connection in this part of the syllabus.

When C ≪ KmKm + C ≈ Km, so V0 ≈ (Vmax ÷ Km) · CV0 ∝ C — FIRST-ORDER. The bracketed term is a constant, and it is the clearance
When C ≫ KmKm + C ≈ C, so V0 ≈ Vmaxrate is constant regardless of C — ZERO-ORDER
When C = KmV0 = Vmax ÷ 2the definition of Km, made visible

A useful quantitative boundary: metabolism remains effectively proportional to concentration — that is, clearance remains effectively constant — as long as concentration stays below about half of Km, which corresponds to a metabolic rate of roughly one-third of maximal. For the intravenous drugs used in anaesthesia at conventional doses, this condition is satisfied, which is why they can be treated as first-order.

Figure 6The Michaelis–Menten curve, its kinetic zones and the Lineweaver–Burk linearisation

Original teaching diagram · interactive · linked plots
0255075100020406080100Concentration, C (mg·L⁻¹)Rate of elimination (mg·h⁻¹)V maxFIRST ORDERMIXED ORDERZERO ORDERK m = 20 · V max/2C = 10 → 330.0000.0120.0240.0360.048-0.080-0.0230.0350.0920.1501 / C (L·mg⁻¹)1 / rate (h·mg⁻¹)1/V max = 0.010−1/K m = -0.050slope = K m/V max1/C = 0.100
  • First order · C < Km/2 · rate < ⅓ Vmax
  • Mixed order · Km/2 to 2Km
  • Zero order · C > 2Km · rate > ⅔ Vmax
  • K m and the axis intercepts
  • Operating point, shown on both plots

At C = 10 mg/L the drug is in the MIXED ORDER zone · rate 33.3 mg/h (33% of Vmax) · clearance now 3.33 L/h against 5.00 L/h at low concentration · 33% of clearance lost · zone boundaries here: 10.0 and 40 mg/L

Left panel. x: drug concentration (mg·L⁻¹). y: rate of elimination (mg·h⁻¹). The curve is a rectangular hyperbola: nearly linear at low concentration, then flattening asymptotically towards Vmax. Construction lines show that it reaches Vmax/2 exactly at C = Km.

The three shaded zones are the whole point of the diagram. Zero-order and first-order kinetics are not two different mechanisms — they are the same curve, read at different concentrations. Where you sit on the x-axis relative to Kmdecides which description applies.

Teal · first order, C < Km/2. The denominator (Km + C) is dominated by Km, so the curve is effectively a straight line through the origin and rate is proportional to concentration. Clearance is effectively constant, half-life is constant, and every equation from lesson 1 applies. At the boundary the rate is exactly Vmax/3 — substitute C = Km/2 and the denominator becomes 1.5 Km.

Gold · mixed order, Km/2 to 2Km. Neither simplification is safe. Clearance is measurably falling but the rate has not yet plateaued, so behaviour is genuinely intermediate and cannot be predicted by either set of rules. Note that Km itself sits in the middle of this zone, at exactly half Vmax. This is where phenytoin sits at therapeutic concentrations, which is precisely why it is difficult to dose.

Coral · zero order, C > 2Km. The denominator is now dominated by C, the C terms very nearly cancel, and rate approaches the constant Vmax — at the boundary it is already 2 Vmax/3. A fixed amount is removed per unit time regardless of how much is present. Clearance is falling steeply and half-life has ceased to be a useful concept.

Move the Km slider and watch the zones slide. A low Km (high affinity) pushes the whole first-order zone into a narrow strip at the left, so the drug is saturated across almost the entire concentration range — that is ethanol. A high Km pushes the zero-order zone off the right of the plot entirely, so the drug behaves first-order at every clinically achievable concentration — that is most anaesthetic drugs. The drug has not changed; only where Km falls relative to the concentrations you actually use.

Why linearise at all? Vmax is an asymptote. It cannot be read accurately from a hyperbola because the curve never reaches it. Taking reciprocals of the whole equation converts the hyperbola into a straight line whose intercepts give both constants exactly. That was Lineweaver and Burk’s entire motivation in 1934.

The algebra. Invert both sides: 1/rate = (Km + C) ÷ (Vmax·C). Split the fraction: 1/rate = Km/(Vmax·C) + C/(Vmax·C). Simplify the second term: 1/rate = (Km/Vmax)·(1/C) + 1/Vmax, which has the form y = mx + c.

Right panel. x: 1/C. y: 1/rate. Gradient = Km/Vmax; y-intercept = 1/Vmax; x-intercept = −1/Km — note the negative sign, obtained by setting 1/rate = 0. Move the Vmax slider and the line pivots about its x-intercept; move Km and it pivots about its y-intercept. That behaviour is exactly how competitive inhibition (which raises apparent Km only) is distinguished experimentally from non-competitive inhibition (which lowers Vmax only).

The violet operating point appears on both plots. Slide it from left to right and watch the clearance figure in the readout: constant while C is well below Km, then falling progressively. That falling number is the whole of phenytoin toxicity.

13b

Where it bites clinically

Phenytoin and the disproportionate rise

At steady state the dosing rate must equal the rate of elimination. Substituting that into the Michaelis-Menten equation produces an expression with a vertical asymptote — and that asymptote is the clinical problem.
R=Vmax · Css ÷ (Km + Css)rate in = rate out
R(Km + Css)=Vmax · Cssmultiply out
RKm=Css(VmaxR)collect terms in Css
Css=Km · R ÷ (VmaxR)examine the denominator — as R approaches Vmax, Css tends to infinity

Figure 7Steady-state concentration against dosing rate under saturable kinetics

Original teaching diagram · interactive
09182736450100200300400500600700Maintenance dosing rate, R (mg·day⁻¹)Steady-state concentration (mg·L⁻¹)therapeutic range 10–20V maxR 300 → 18.0 mg/L+10% → 28.3 mg/L
  • Saturable (Michaelis–Menten)
  • If kinetics were linear
  • Current dosing rate
  • After a 10% dose increase

At R = 300 mg/day · Css = 18.0 mg/L · a 10% dose increase gives 28.3 mg/L (57% rise) · clearance 16.7 L/day

Axes. x: maintenance dosing rate (mg·day⁻¹). y: steady-state plasma concentration (mg·L⁻¹). The shaded band marks a representative phenytoin therapeutic range of 10–20 mg·L⁻¹.

What to notice. The coral dashed line is what would happen if clearance were constant — a straight line through the origin, so doubling the dose doubles the concentration. The teal curve is the truth for a saturable drug: indistinguishable from linear at low doses, then diverging upward and rising asymptotically as R approaches Vmax. Beyond Vmax no steady state exists at all.

Try this. With Vmax = 400 mg/day and Km = 6 mg/L, move the dose from 300 to 330 mg/day — a 10% increase — and read the concentration change. This is the arithmetic behind the clinical rule that phenytoin doses are adjusted in small increments with therapeutic drug monitoring. Note too that Vmax and Km vary between individuals, so the position of the vertical asymptote cannot be predicted from population data — which is precisely why monitoring is required rather than a nomogram.

13c

How it is actually assessed

Michaelis–Menten, applied

There is no standalone question on this topic in the collected papers. It is assessed through four applications, and recognising them is worth more than reciting the equation.
14

Two ends of one relationship

Zero-order and first-order kinetics

With Michaelis-Menten established, the two orders can be presented as what they actually are — the two limits of a single equation — rather than as two unrelated facts to be memorised.

The mathematics was developed in lesson 1: dC/dt = −kC, integrating to C = C0e−kt, and giving a straight line of gradient −k on a semilogarithmic plot. The term “first-order” refers to C being raised to the power one in the differential equation. First-order kinetics is also called linear kinetics, a synonym worth stating explicitly because it is readily confused with the straight line produced by zero-order elimination on linear axes.

Four consequences of first-order kinetics

  1. Half-life is constant and independent of the dose administered.
  2. AUC is proportional to dose.
  3. The amount of unchanged drug appearing in urine is proportional to dose.
  4. Steady-state concentration is proportional to dose.
dC/dt = −k0   ⟹   C = C0k0t

There is no dependence on concentration at all — the derivative depends on C raised to the power zero (and C0 = 1), which is the origin of the name. Integration is trivial and yields the equation of a straight line. So zero-order elimination gives a straight line on linear axes and a curve that steepens progressively on semilogarithmic axes — the exact opposite of first-order.

Figure 8First-order, zero-order and true Michaelis–Menten elimination

Original teaching diagram · interactive
02040608010003691215182124Time (hours)Plasma concentration (mg·L⁻¹, linear)C = K m at 11.3 h1×t½ = 4.6 h2×t½ = 9.2 h3×t½ = 13.9 hFIRST ORDERMIXED ORDERZERO ORDER
  • First order · C = C₀e⁻ᵏᵗ
  • Zero order · C = C₀ − k₀t
  • True Michaelis–Menten
  • Successive half-lives (first order)
  • C = K m — the transition point
  • Shaded bands: the kinetic zone at that concentration

First order: t½ = 4.6 h, constant · Zero order: halving from C₀ takes 5.0 h, but from C₀/2 only 2.5 hnot a constant half-life · zone boundaries at 7.5 and 30 mg/L · the MM curve starts zero order and ends first order, with clearance Vmax/Km = 0.67 h⁻¹

Axes. x: time (hours). y: plasma concentration, switchable between linear and logarithmic. The pair is the point. A first-order decay is a curve on one and a straight line on the other, and it is the straight line that shows the rate constant is constant — neither plot states that on its own.

The four-panel logic to reproduce. First-order elimination gives a curve on linear axes and a straight line on logarithmic axes of gradient −k. Zero-order gives a straight line on linear axes and a curve that becomes progressively steeper on logarithmic axes. If you remember only one thing, remember that a straight line on a semilogarithmic plot is the signature of a first-order process.

Half-life. On the first-order curve the intervals between successive halvings are equal — that is what a constant half-life looks like. On the zero-order line, the readout shows the time to halve from C₀ and from C₀/2: they are different, because a fixed amount is removed each hour from an ever-smaller quantity. Half-life is not a useful concept under zero-order kinetics.

The violet Michaelis–Menten curve is the real behaviour, computed by numerically integrating dC/dt = −Vmax·C/(Km + C). Note that it lies close to the zero-order line while concentration is far above Km, then bends and develops an exponential tail once concentration falls through Km.

The shaded bands are the same three zones as Figure 6, turned on their side. There, concentration was the horizontal axis and the zones were vertical strips; here concentration is the vertical axis, so they become horizontal bands. The boundaries are identical: first order below Km/2, zero order above 2Km, mixed between.

Now watch what the drug does. A falling concentration does not stay in one zone — it descends through all three. The Michaelis–Menten curve begins in the coral band running almost straight, exactly like the zero-order line beside it; passes through the gold band where it visibly bends; and finishes in the teal band as a true exponential tail parallel to the first-order curve. This is the transition itself — a zero-order process reverting to first-order as substrate falls — and here it is a single continuous curve crossing two boundaries rather than a fact to be recalled.

Raise the Km slider and the bands rise with it: the transition happens earlier and at a higher concentration, and the curve spends most of its life first-order. Lower Km and the coral band swallows almost the whole plot, so the drug stays zero-order nearly to exhaustion — the behaviour of ethanol, whose alcohol dehydrogenase has a Km far below any concentration reached by drinking.

14b

Side by side

Comparing the two orders

Eleven rows that answer almost any comparison question on this topic.
First-order kineticsZero-order kinetics
SynonymsLinear kineticsSaturation, non-linear, Michaelis–Menten kinetics
Amount eliminated per unit timeA constant fractionA constant amount
Elimination rateProportional to concentrationIndependent of concentration
ClearanceConstantFalls as concentration rises
Half-lifeConstantIncreases with dose; not a useful concept
Metabolic pathways saturatedNoYes
Rate-limiting factorFlow-dependentCapacity-dependent
AUCProportional to doseNot proportional to dose
Steady-state concentrationProportional to doseRises disproportionately
Plot on linear axesCurveStraight line
Plot on semilogarithmic axesStraight lineCurve
Zero-order at normal therapeutic doses

“PP & WHEAT”

Phenytoin, Phenylbutazone, Warfarin, Heparin, Ethanol, Aspirin, Theophylline (also tolbutamide). Ethanol is the classical example — approximately 25 mg% metabolised per hour whether the blood alcohol concentration is 0.03% or 0.3%.

Zero-order only at high dose

Thiopentone, and the input side

Thiopentone after large or repeated dosing. Some drugs occupy an intermediate position — thiopentone at 300 mg·kg⁻¹, phenytoin at 40–80 µmol·L⁻¹. Also inherently zero-order: the input side of an intravenous infusion, and any fixed dosing schedule such as “one tablet every eight hours”.

Clinical significance of saturation kinetics

  1. A small increase in dose can produce a disproportionately large increase in concentration, half-life and duration of action.
  2. The decline in plasma concentration is not exponential.
  3. Half-life increases with the dose administered.
  4. AUC and steady-state concentration are not proportional to dose, so the usual dose-adjustment arithmetic fails.

Non-linear kinetics is uncommon because the capacity of carrier systems and metabolic enzymes normally far exceeds the concentrations achieved therapeutically. The drugs that do exhibit it are predominantly eliminated by hepatic metabolism.

Part VI

Compartment models and infusions

How the observed plasma concentration curve is converted into a mathematical description of the patient, and how that description is then used to drive an infusion pump.

15

Turning a curve into a patient

Compartment models

A compartment is a mathematical construct fitted to a curve, not an anatomical space. Holding that distinction is what separates a usable model from a misleading one.

Three classes of model

Physiological (perfusion) modelCompartmental modelStatistical model
BasisReal tissues grouped by perfusion and drug affinityAbstract compartments fitted to plasma concentration–time dataTheory of statistical moments
DivisionsVessel-rich group (brain, heart, lungs, kidneys, liver) · lean tissue (muscle, skin) · fat · vessel-poor group (bone, cartilage)A central compartment plus one or more peripheral compartments
AdvantagesPredicts concentration at the site of action; predicts the effect of physiological change — altered cardiac output, renal function, regional blood flowSimplicity; requires only plasma dataAccounts for the effect of time on a variable
DisadvantagesComplex; large data requirement; validation needs tissue drug measurement, which may be unethicalCannot directly predict the effect of physiological change such as reduced cardiac outputLimited clinical application
Used forThiopentone, lignocaine, inhalational agents; explained recovery after a single thiopentone doseAll modern TIVA and TCIResearch

Figure 9Structure of the one-, two- and three-compartment models

Original teaching diagram
A · One-compartment modelVdsingle well-stirred volumek₁₀eliminationdose inCp(t) = C₀e⁻ᵏᵗone exponentialstraight line on log axesB · Two-compartment modelV₁central(≈ blood)V₂peripheral(≈ vessel-rich)k₁₂k₂₁k₁₀dose inCp(t) = Ae⁻ᵅᵗ + Be⁻ᵝᵗtwo exponentialsC · Three-compartment model with effect siteEffect siteno volumeV₃slow / deep(≈ fat)V₁central(≈ blood)V₂fast peripheral(≈ muscle)k₁₃k₃₁k₁₂k₂₁k₁ₑkₑ₀k₁₀eliminationCp(t) = Ae⁻ᵅᵗ + Be⁻ᵝᵗ + Ce⁻ᵞᵗthree exponentialsA, B, C are coefficients —not concentrationsVss = V₁ + V₂ + V₃effect site excluded —it holds no drug

Reading the diagrams. Each box is a volume of distribution; each arrow is a first-order rate constant describing the proportion of drug transferred per unit time. Drug enters the central compartment and is eliminated only from the central compartment — this is true of all three models and is the most commonly mislabelled feature.

Subscript convention. k₁₂ means transfer from compartment 1 to compartment 2; k₂₁ is the reverse. k₁₀ means transfer from compartment 1 to “compartment zero”, meaning out of the body — elimination. The effect site is drawn with a dashed outline because it has a rate constant but no volume, and is therefore excluded from Vss.

Note what increases with each model. One compartment yields one exponential and a straight line on log axes. Two compartments yield two exponentials, hence a distribution phase followed by an elimination phase. Three compartments yield three exponentials — rapid distribution, slow distribution, and terminal elimination. The number of exponentials always equals the number of compartments.

15b

One, two and three compartments

The models and their equations

The number of exponentials equals the number of compartments. Each added compartment adds early curvature while barely altering the terminal slope.

The one-compartment model

C = C0e−kt  ·  Vd = Dose ÷ C0  ·  Cl = k × Vd = Vd ÷ τ

Its assumptions are: that mixing after intravenous injection is effectively instantaneous, so no concentration gradients exist within the compartment; that any decline in plasma concentration is due solely to elimination; that the body behaves as one homogeneous compartment; and that elimination is first-order. Very few drugs genuinely behave this way — inulin approximately does. The model is mathematically simple but has considerable practical limitations, and the pharmacokinetics of anaesthetic drugs are almost invariably described using two- and three-compartment open models. It remains worth understanding because every concept in the larger models is introduced here.

The two-compartment model

Cp(t) = A e−αt + B e−βt

After intravenous injection the plasma concentration of most drugs falls rapidly because of distribution throughout the body — the distribution phase, whose rate and extent are determined by the drug’s physicochemical characteristics, especially molecular weight and lipid solubility. This is followed by a slower decline reflecting elimination by metabolism and excretion — the elimination phase. All processes are assumed first-order.

  • V1 = Dose ÷ C0 = Dose ÷ (A + B)
  • V2 = V1(k12 + k21) ÷ k21
  • Vss = V1 + V2

The three-compartment model

Cp(t) = A e−αt + B e−βt + C e−γt
SymbolNameMeaningUnits
Cp(t)Plasma concentrationThe predicted concentration at time t — the output of the modelmg·L⁻¹
A, B, CCoefficientsZero-time intercepts of the three exponential components. Their sum equals C0mg·L⁻¹
α, β, γExponents (hybrid rate constants)The rate constants of rapid distribution, slow distribution and terminal elimination. Each is a composite of several micro-rate constants, hence “hybrid”min⁻¹
k10, k12, k21Micro-rate constantsTransfer between named compartments, as drawn in Figure 9min⁻¹
ClClearanceVolume cleared per unit time. Never abbreviated to CL·min⁻¹

Vss = V1 + V2 + V3. The plasma decay of most opioids, neuromuscular blockers and intravenous anaesthetics resolves into three exponential components. Because α > β > γ, the terminal half-life quoted for a drug is always 0.693 ÷ γ — the slowest exponent, which dominates once the others have decayed away.

Figure 10Plasma decay curves and curve stripping

Original teaching diagram · interactive
0.1110100020406080100120Time after bolus (minutes)Plasma concentration (% of C₀) (%, log scale)A = 60B = 30C = 10
  • Observed plasma concentration
  • α component — rapid distribution
  • β component — slow distribution
  • γ component — terminal elimination

3 compartments · t½α = 1.2 min · t½β = 11.5 min · terminal t½γ = 115 min (1.9 h) · at 10 min: 26.0% of C₀

Axes. x: time after bolus (minutes) — use the time-window buttons to expand the early portion where the α and β phases occur. y: plasma concentration as a percentage of C₀ on a logarithmic scale, which is essential because it renders each exponential component as a straight line.

Curve stripping — how a model is obtained from data. Take the terminalportion of the observed curve, which is straight because only the slowest exponential still contributes: its slope gives γ and its back-extrapolation to time zero gives the coefficient C. Subtract that line from the observed data; the residual is again a straight line, giving β and B. Subtract once more to obtain α and A. Three straight lines, extracted in reverse order.

Compare the models. The one-compartment curve is a single straight line with no distribution phase at all, which is why it cannot describe an induction agent. Adding compartments adds early curvature while barely altering the terminal slope. This is the visual reason why terminal half-life tells you almost nothing about how quickly a patient wakes: waking occurs during the α and β phases, which the terminal slope does not describe.

Separation of the exponents. Widen the gap between α, β and γ and the phases become cleanly distinguishable; bring them together and the curve straightens into something a simpler model would fit adequately. Whether a drug “needs” three compartments is therefore not a property of the drug alone — it depends on whether the exponents are separable given the sampling schedule used.

15c

What a model can and cannot tell you

Why individual parameters mean little on their own

Six parameters that interact in complex ways, which is precisely why a single integrated number was needed.
16

From bolus to infusion

Infusion kinetics and dosing regimens

Loading dose is governed by volume; maintenance rate is governed by clearance. The two are independent, and that independence is the most useful fact in clinical pharmacokinetics.

An infusion is given rather than repeated boluses for four reasons: greater haemodynamic stability, fewer episodes of haemodynamic breakthrough, more rapid awakening, and a lower incidence of side effects.

The behaviour of a constant infusion

Starting an infusion produces a wash-in exponential: the concentration rises towards a plateau at a rate proportional to the distance still to be travelled. Three properties follow, and all three are counter-intuitive enough to be examined.

  1. A constant infusion takes 4–5 half-lives to reach steady state.
  2. Increasing the infusion rate does not shorten the time taken to reach steady state. It raises the plateau. Both a fast and a slow infusion are 50% of their own plateau after one half-life.
  3. Both the time of peak concentration and the time to steady state are therefore independent of dose.

The practical corollary requires care. Increasing the rate cannot make a drug reach equilibrium sooner, but it may reach a therapeutic threshold sooner, simply because it is climbing towards a higher plateau and crosses any given concentration earlier. Those are different claims and distinguishing them is worth a mark.

Figure 11Approach to steady state, and the effect of a loading dose

Original teaching diagram · interactive
0.00.51.01.52.00.01.02.03.04.05.06.07.08.09.010.011.0Time (hours)Plasma concentration (multiples of C_ss at rate X)C_ss at rate XC_ss at rate 2X1×t½ · 50.0%2×t½ · 75.0%3×t½ · 87.5%4×t½ · 93.8%
  • Infusion at rate X
  • Infusion at rate 2X
  • Loading dose then infusion at rate X
  • Successive half-lives, labelled with % of steady state

t½ = 2.0 h · 50% of steady state at 2.0 h, 90% at 6.6 h, 97% at 10.0 hidentical for both infusion rates

Axes. x: time (hours). y: plasma concentration expressed as a multiple of the steady-state concentration achieved at rate X.

Compare the teal and coral curves. Doubling the infusion rate doubles the plateau but does not shorten the time taken to reach it — both are at 50% of their own plateau at one half-life, 75% at two, 87.5% at three. Drag the half-life slider and both curves stretch together. Time to steady state is governed by half-life alone.

Press “Show loading dose + infusion”. The violet trace is the solution to the problem: a bolus fills the volume of distribution immediately, and the infusion then replaces only what is being cleared. This is the two-part logic — LD = Vd × Ctarget, then rate = Cl × Ctarget — which, extended to three compartments, becomes the BET scheme.

16b

Designing the regimen

Which volume, and the BET scheme

Three candidate volumes for the loading dose, only one of which is right for an anaesthetic agent — and the three-part infusion that holds a concentration steady.
RegimenWhat happensProblem
LD = V1 × CtargetTarget plasma concentration achieved immediatelyAs distribution proceeds, the concentration falls to sub-therapeutic levels — the patient moves or wakes
LD = Vss × CtargetTarget achieved later, once redistribution has occurredUndesirably high initial concentrations, though transient. Risk depends on therapeutic index
LD = Vpe × CtargetTarget reached at the moment of peak effectThe appropriate choice for anaesthetic agents

Manual TIVA — the Bristol algorithm

A stepped manual approximation to the BET scheme for propofol, designed to achieve a target blood concentration of about 3 µg·mL⁻¹ within 2 minutes and hold it.

PhaseRateCorresponds to
Loading bolus1 mg·kg⁻¹B
Minutes 0–1010 mg·kg⁻¹·h⁻¹T — a staircase approximating the exponential decline
Minutes 10–208 mg·kg⁻¹·h⁻¹T (continued)
Thereafter6 mg·kg⁻¹·h⁻¹E — approximates Cl × Ctarget

The descending rate is not arbitrary. Early on, propofol is being lost from plasma by both elimination and rapid distribution into peripheral tissue, so a high rate is required. As the peripheral compartments fill, the transfer gradient falls and only the elimination component remains. A three-step staircase approximating a smooth exponential decay is what a human can achieve without a microprocessor. The scheme was derived in premedicated patients who were also given fentanyl and nitrous oxide and were ventilated; if higher propofol concentrations are needed the algorithm must be adjusted or supplemented. Studies show that TCI achieves anaesthesia with a lower total propofol dose, greater haemodynamic stability and more rapid awakening than manual infusion.

17

Where the drug actually works

The effect site, hysteresis and kₑ₀

The plasma is not the site of drug effect. One rate constant describes the lag between them, and it explains the entire difference between alfentanil and fentanyl.

Hysteresis

Plot drug effect against plasma concentration during and after a bolus and the result is not a single line but a loop. The same plasma concentration corresponds to a smaller effect on the way up than on the way down — on the way up the effect site has not yet filled; on the way down it is still emptying. This is anticlockwise hysteresis.

The electroencephalographic effect of fentanyl lags roughly 2 minutes behind the rise in arterial concentration. Plasma concentration peaks the moment an infusion is stopped and then falls rapidly, but the offset of drug effect again lags well behind. Because alfentanil equilibrates with the brain far more rapidly, there is much less hysteresis with alfentanil than with fentanyl.

The effect-site compartment

To collapse the hysteresis loop — to match one plasma concentration to one drug effect — the lag is modelled by adding an effect-site compartment linked to the central compartment. k1e describes movement of drug from the central compartment to the effect site; ke0 describes its removal from the effect site.

dCe/dt = ke0 ( Cp Ce )   ·   t½ke0 = 0.693 ÷ ke0

The differential equation says something simple: the effect site chases the plasma, at a rate proportional to the gap between them. It is a wash-in exponential whose target is itself moving. t½ke0 is the time for half the equilibration between biophase and plasma to occur, and ke0 governs both the rate of onset and the rate of offset of drug effect.

Figure 12Plasma and effect-site concentration after a bolus

Original teaching diagram · interactive
0204060801000123456789101112131415Time after bolus (minutes)Concentration (% of peak plasma)peak effect at 2.9 min
  • Plasma concentration Cp
  • Effect-site concentration Ce
  • Peak effect — where the curves cross

ke0 = 0.41 min⁻¹ · t½ke0 = 1.69 min · time to peak effect 2.9 min · peak Ce is 41% of peak Cp

Axes. x: time after bolus (minutes). y: concentration as a percentage of the peak plasma concentration.

Three things to read from it. First, Ce always peaks laterand lower than Cp. Second, the curves cross exactly at the moment Ce peaks — necessarily so, because dCe/dt = 0 requires Cp = Ce. That crossing is the time to peak effect. Third, after the crossing Ce exceeds Cp: the brain concentration is now higher than the plasma concentration, which is why effect persists while plasma levels are falling.

Drag ke0 to the left for slow equilibration, as with fentanyl: the effect-site curve becomes flatter, lower and later, and hysteresis is large. Drag it right for rapid equilibration, as with alfentanil: Ce tracks Cp closely, hysteresis is minimal, and both onset and offset are rapid. This single parameter explains why alfentanil is chosen when a rapid, titratable opioid effect is needed for a brief intense stimulus.

17b

Comparing the drugs

Time to peak effect and kₑ₀

One column of numbers that explains most anaesthetic drug choices at induction.
DrugTime to peak effect (min)t½ke0 (min)
Alfentanil1.40.9
Propofol1.61.7
Thiopentone1.61.5
Remifentanil1.81.3
Etomidate2.01.5
Midazolam2.84.0
Ketamine3.5
Fentanyl3.64.7
Sufentanil5.63.0

These are values after a bolus dose. Note that published effect-site rate constants differ between models for the same drug — the propofol models below use ke0 values ranging from 0.146 to 1.21 min⁻¹, a more than eight-fold spread, which is why they behave so differently at induction.

Factors influencing blood–effect site equilibration

  1. Rate of drug delivery
  2. Cardiac output
  3. Cerebral blood flow
  4. Lipid solubility
  5. Degree of ionisation
18

Why terminal half-life misleads

Context-sensitive half-time

A single number that integrates all six model parameters into something clinically meaningful — and the one definition examiners most often see written incorrectly.

Why terminal half-life fails

Elimination half-life describes the terminal exponential alone. It takes no account of redistribution and therefore gives no quantitative measure of how long concentration will take to fall by half after an infusion. The reason is straightforward: after a long infusion the peripheral compartments are loaded with drug, and when the infusion stops that drug flows back into the plasma, opposing the fall. The terminal slope was measured after a single bolus, when no such reservoir existed.

What determines the shape of the CSHT curve

1 · The ratio of distribution clearance to elimination clearance sets how high the curve rises. If drug leaves the plasma into tissue much faster than it is eliminated, a large reservoir accumulates and is returned when the infusion stops. Fentanyl redistributes far more rapidly than propofol, and its elimination clearance is roughly one-fifth of its distribution clearance, so its CSHT climbs steeply. For propofol, elimination clearance is similar to distribution clearance into the second compartment, so plasma concentration falls rapidly and mainly by elimination. For remifentanil the ratio is less than one — the opposite of fentanyl — so elimination always dominates and CSHT varies very little.

2 · The size and speed of the deep compartment set how long the curve keeps rising. The deep compartment fills with a time constant of V₃ ÷ Cl₃. While the infusion is shorter than about 3 of those time constants, the compartment is still filling, so every additional hour of infusion banks more drug and CSHT keeps rising. Once the infusion exceeds that, the compartment is essentially full and CSHT plateaus at its maximum possible value.

Figure 13Context-sensitive half-time computed from a three-compartment simulation

Original teaching diagram · live numerical simulation
04590135180225270012345678Duration of infusion (hours)Context-sensitive half-time (minutes)terminal elimination t½ = 252 min2 h → 10.5 min8 h → 17.5 min
  • Simulated CSHT
  • Values at 2 h and 8 h
  • Terminal elimination half-life

CSHT after 30 min 8.1 min · 2 h 10.5 min · 8 h 17.5 min · 1.67× rise from 2 h to 8 h · τ₃ = 3.7 h, plateau at ≈11.1 h

Axes. x: duration of infusion (hours). y: context-sensitive half-time (minutes). The grey dashed line is the model’s own terminal elimination half-life.

This is a genuine computation. The figure numerically integrates a three-compartment model, running an infusion whose rate is continuously adjusted to hold the plasma concentration constant, then stopping it and measuring the time for concentration to fall by half. Every point is that measurement repeated for a different infusion duration. It is a generic model illustrating the mechanism, not the parameter set of any real drug — published values for real drugs are tabulated below.

Slider 1 sets how high the curve goes. At a low clearance ratio the curve is nearly flat: elimination dominates and peripheral loading is irrelevant — remifentanil-like behaviour. Raise the ratio and CSHT rises steeply.

Slider 2 sets how long it keeps climbing. The readout shows the deep compartment time constant τ₃ and the point at which the curve plateaus. Make V₃ small and the curve flattens early; make it large and it climbs across the whole 8 hours — which is why fentanyl’s CSHT is still rising at 8 hours while propofol’s has long since levelled off.

Note the grey line. Terminal elimination half-life sits far above the CSHT and does not move when the infusion duration changes, because it is a property of the terminal exponential alone. That divergence is the entire clinical argument for using CSHT instead.

18b

Published values

Context-sensitive half-time for the drugs that matter

Always quote the duration alongside the number — a context-sensitive half-time without a stated context is meaningless by definition.
DrugCSHT after 2 hBehaviour from 1 to 8 hLongest possible CSHT
Remifentanil≈ 3.5 minEssentially independent of duration; 2–5 min for infusions up to 8 h≈ 8 min
PropofolIncreases 2–3 fold≈ 25 min
Sufentanil21 minModerate increase
Fentanyl48 minIncreases 10–12 fold (24 → 280 min)≈ 300 min
Alfentanil51 minRises early then plateaus
19

Putting the model in a pump

Target-controlled infusion and its models

The pump does not sample blood. Everything it displays is a calculation from population pharmacokinetics — which is why the choice of model changes the dose delivered, but not the drug.

The pump requires three inputs: the pharmacokinetic model with its patient covariates, the drug concentration in the syringe, and the syringe type. From these it executes the BET regimen — a bolus to fill V₁, an infusion matching elimination, and an exponentially declining component matching transfer to the peripheral compartments.

Plasma targeting versus effect-site targeting

Plasma targetingEffect-site targeting
Pump behaviourDelivers a bolus to reach the plasma target, then continues infusing to hold itDelivers a larger bolus, then pauses. As plasma concentration falls it meets the rising effect-site concentration exactly at the target, at which point infusion restarts
Reached immediatelyTarget plasma concentrationTarget effect-site concentration
Plasma overshootNoneYes — plasma must transiently exceed the target
Effect-site overshootNone; approaches from below at a rate set by ke0None — this is the design goal
Speed of inductionSlower; determined by ke0Faster, by virtue of the larger initial dose
Haemodynamic consequenceGentlerGreater initial plasma peak — more hypotension in the frail

Figure 14TCI induction — comparing models and targeting modes

Original teaching diagram · live simulation
0.02.04.06.08.010.0012345678910Time from start of infusion (minutes)Propofol concentration (µg·mL⁻¹)target 4.095% of target at 11.5 min
  • Plasma concentration
  • Effect-site concentration
  • Target concentration
  • Time at which the effect site reaches target

V₁ 15.90 L · ke0 0.260 min⁻¹ (t½ke0 2.7 min) · plasma targeting · initial dose 64 mg (0.91 mg/kg at 70 kg) · effect site reaches target at 11.5 min

Model preset:
Targeting:

Axes. x: time from starting the infusion (minutes). y: propofol concentration (µg·mL⁻¹). The grey dashed line is the selected target.

What is being simulated. A three-compartment model with an effect site, integrated numerically. The model presets set only the two parameters that differ most between the published algorithms — V₁ and ke0 — with the remaining compartments held constant, so the figure isolates the effect of those two variables. Real published models differ in other parameters too, and this simulation is illustrative of the principle rather than a reproduction of any commercial pump.

Compare Marsh and Schnider in plasma-targeting mode. Marsh has a V₁ of about 15.9 L in a 70 kg adult; Schnider fixes V₁ at 4.27 L. Since the induction bolus is essentially V₁ × target, Marsh delivers roughly three to four times the initial dose.

Compare Marsh and Modified Marsh. The pharmacokinetics are identical; only ke0 differs, 0.26 against 1.21 min⁻¹. In plasma targeting the dose delivered is identical and the drug behaves identically — only the pump’s calculated effect-site concentration rises faster. This is the clearest possible demonstration that the model changes the calculation, not the patient.

Now switch to effect-site targeting. A larger bolus is given, the pump pauses, and plasma concentration overshoots the target before falling to meet the rising effect-site curve exactly at target. Note the size of the plasma overshoot with Schnider: a small V₁ combined with a moderate ke0 drives the calculated plasma concentration to high levels. With Eleveld, the very low ke0 of 0.146 min⁻¹ means a large initial dose is required, only partly offset by its modest V₁ of 6.28 L.

19b

The published algorithms

The TCI models compared

Marsh, Modified Marsh, Schnider and Eleveld for propofol; Minto for remifentanil; Paedfusor and Kataria for children. The single most examinable contrast is V₁.
ParameterMarsh (1991)Modified MarshSchnider (1998)Eleveld (2018)
Covariates requiredWeight (age entered but does not alter parameters)WeightAge, weight, height, sexAge, post-menstrual age, weight, height, sex, other anaesthetic drugs
V₁0.228 L·kg⁻¹ — scales with weight (≈15.9 L at 70 kg)As MarshFixed at 4.27 L6.28 L (reference individual)
V₂Scales with weightAs MarshAdjusted for age25.5 L
V₃Scales with weightAs MarshFixed273 L
ClearanceScales with weightAs MarshWeight, height, lean body mass1.79 L·min⁻¹
k₁₂, k₂₁FixedFixedAdjusted for ageAllometric
k₁₃, k₃₁FixedFixedFixedAllometric
ke0 (min⁻¹)0.261.210.4560.146
Designed forPlasma targetingEffect-site targetingEffect-site targetingBoth; broadest population
PopulationAdultsAdultsAdults, normal body habitusNeonates to the elderly, including the morbidly obese

Eleveld’s model was developed from 1,033 individuals ranging from 27 weeks post-menstrual age to 88 years and from 0.68 to 160 kg, using an allometric scaling approach based on lean body weight calculated by the Janmahasatian formula. Its reference parameter set above is for a 35-year-old, 170 cm, 70 kg male without concomitant anaesthetic drugs; the remaining values are Q₂ 1.75 L·min⁻¹ and Q₃ 1.11 L·min⁻¹. Its breadth is its principal advantage — one model covering the range for which several separate models were previously required.

Remifentanil — the Minto model

FeatureMinto model (1997)
DrugRemifentanil — used exclusively for this drug
Derived from65 adults, age range 20–85 years
CovariatesAge, weight and sex, from which lean body mass is calculated
Reference parameters (35-year-old, 70 kg male)V₁ 5.81 L · V₂ 8.82 L · V₃ 5.03 L · Cl 2.58 L·min⁻¹ · Q₂ 1.72 L·min⁻¹ · Q₃ 0.124 L·min⁻¹
ke01.09 min⁻¹ (reference individual); decreases with age
Effect of ageBetween 20 and 85 years, V₁ falls by about 25% and clearance by about 33%. Elderly patients therefore require substantially reduced bolus and infusion doses
Known limitationThe lean body mass calculation behaves anomalously in the obese, with potential for inappropriately low predicted doses

Note the very small V₃ and, in particular, the very low Q₃ of 0.124 L·min⁻¹ relative to a clearance of 2.58 L·min⁻¹. This is the numerical expression of the point made in section 18: for remifentanil, elimination clearance greatly exceeds distribution clearance, so elimination always dominates and the context-sensitive half-time barely varies with infusion duration.

Paediatric propofol models

Children are not small adults kinetically: they have proportionally larger central compartments and higher weight-adjusted clearances, so adult models systematically under-dose them.

PaedfusorKataria
Age range1–16 years (validated from 6 months)3–16 years
Weight range5–60 kg30–60 kg
V₁≈ 9.2 L · 458 mL·kg⁻¹≈ 7.6 L
Clearance≈ 0.58 L·min⁻¹≈ 0.74 L·min⁻¹
Notable featureWider applicable range, including infants and smaller childrenNarrower range; requires a larger minimum weight

The single most instructive number here is Paedfusor’s central compartment volume of 458 mL·kg⁻¹, almost exactly double the Marsh figure of 228 mL·kg⁻¹. That difference is the quantitative statement of why children require larger weight-adjusted induction doses of propofol. Both models are comparably effective for induction and recovery, though plasma concentration at recovery has been reported as lower with Kataria than with Paedfusor. The Eleveld model, covering neonates through to the elderly, offers an alternative to selecting between separate paediatric and adult models.

Ideal properties of a drug for intravenous anaesthesia

  • Predictable plasma concentrations according to a known pharmacokinetic model
  • Predictable relationship between pharmacokinetic and pharmacodynamic effects
  • No active metabolites
  • Rapid onset of action
  • Rapid offset of action, ideally independent of infusion duration
  • Stable in a plastic syringe
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